The CCLEI Index is designed to provide early warning signals for the turning points of business cycles i.e., early evidence of the turns in economic activity. This Ιndex comprises of a number of leading economic activity variables whose changes tend to lead the changes in the overall economic activity and which are evaluated on a regular basis. The leading variables have been selected from a large pool of domestic and international leading indicators and are: the Brent Crude oil price (€), the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) in Cyprus and the euro area, the total number of property sales contracts, the tourist arrivals, the value of credit card transactions, the retail trade sales turnover volume index, and the volume index of electricity production. The CCLEI is estimated based on the econometric model of Aruoba, Diebold, and Scotti (2009).
