{"id":2361,"date":"2023-12-05T12:23:17","date_gmt":"2023-12-05T09:23:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/?p=2361"},"modified":"2023-12-05T12:27:45","modified_gmt":"2023-12-05T09:27:45","slug":"identify-the-expert-presentation-at-the-metrics-forum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/identify-the-expert-presentation-at-the-metrics-forum\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2018Identify the Expert\u2019 : Presentation at the Metrics Forum"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>A presentation by Zacharias Maniadis:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"\u2018Identify the Expert\u2019  an Experimental Study in Economic Advice\" width=\"1220\" height=\"686\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/yT8N_UTaWaY?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>In a set of preregistered experiments with the UK general population, experimental participants receive recommended answers to an economics questionnaire by two computerized advisors. One advisor is of high accuracy (\u2018the Expert\u2019) and recommends the answers produced by academic consensus. The other advisor is of low accuracy (\u2018the Populist\u2019), and recommends the modal answers of participants from a pilot study. We examine which advisor participants select to answer the questionnaire on their behalf. Our participants overwhelmingly choose the Populist, even when fully informed about the modus operandi of the two advisors. Bayesian models fail to explain these choices, even in the degenerate case where participants should be able to identify the Expert with 100% accuracy. Overconfidence partly accounts for advisor choice, while ego-involvement cannot explain behaviour.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A presentation by Zacharias Maniadis: In a set of preregistered experiments with the UK general population, experimental participants receive recommended answers to an economics questionnaire by<span class=\"excerpt-hellip\"> [\u2026]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":418,"featured_media":2364,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2361","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"modified_by":"afillo01","publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2026-06-13 09:46:10","action":"change-status","newStatus":"draft","terms":[],"taxonomy":"category","extraData":[]},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2361","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/418"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2361"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2361\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2365,"href":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2361\/revisions\/2365"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2364"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2361"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2361"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ucy.ac.cy\/sinnopsis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2361"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}